Atletico Madrid v Espanyol
Saturday 17:15 (Live on Sky Sports 2)
Atletico 1.28, Espanyol 15.50, The Draw 6.20
Saturday 17:15 (Live on Sky Sports 2)
Atletico 1.28, Espanyol 15.50, The Draw 6.20
In the last three seasons, these two have met six times and those matches have delivered just six goals in total. Atletico have won 3/3 at the Vicente Calderon: 1-0, 1-0 and 2-0.
Those results are a nice match with Atletico's form this season: they're W4-D1-L1 at home, beating everyone who wasn't Barcelona or Real Madrid, but have scored only eight times across those six outings.
Espanyol have lost 3/3 on the road to teams now in the top half. Last season, Sergio Gonzalez's men lost 7/9 on the road to top-10 finishers. The issue for us is that the Parakeetsdid at least score in 9/12 of those. And 10 of them went Over 2.5 Goals.
With the visitors' good scoring record in mind, we're focusing on the Winning Margin, rather than the Correct Score - so that we have results like a 2-1 home win on side too.
Recommended Bet
0.5pts - Back Atletico Madrid by 1 @ 3.75
0.5pts - Back Atletico Madrid by 2 @ 4.00
0.5pts - Back Atletico Madrid by 1 @ 3.75
0.5pts - Back Atletico Madrid by 2 @ 4.00
Malaga v Granada
Saturday 19:30 (Live on Sky Sports 2)
Malaga 1.87, Granada 5.10, The Draw 3.60
Rock-bottom Malaga welcome a team just one point above them on Saturday night.
The hosts look a bit short to us: they're an even W2-D2-L2 at the Rosaleda this season, while Granada have lost only 1/6 at home and away recently.
On the road, Granada are W1-D2-L1 against teams now 10th and below. Both teams scored in all four of those games.
Malaga have a solid defence, but they've conceded exactly once in 3/4 at home, while Granada have scored in 6/8 away from home under Jose Sandoval.
Recommended Bet
Back Both Teams to Score @ 2.24
Back Both Teams to Score @ 2.24
Getafe v Villarreal
Sunday 11:00 (Live on Sky Sports 5)
Getafe 3.25, Villarreal 2.48, The Draw 3.35
Sixteenth-placed Getafe have earned 10 of their 11 points at the Coliseum (W3-D1-L2). But those three wins came against the three teams that now occupy the relegation zone. They scored just twice in the three other games and Sunday morning's encounter looks like being a low scorer.
Fourth-placed Villarreal have failed to score in any of their last three away matches. Each of their last five games have now been goalless at the break, which means that since mid-February 12/14 have been 0-0 after 45 minutes.
Recommended Bet
Back 0-0 Half Time Score @ 2.70
Back 0-0 Half Time Score @ 2.70
Eibar v Real Madrid
Sunday 15:00 (Live on Sky Sports 2)
Eibar 7.80, Real 1.47, The Draw 5.10
Both teams have scored in each of Real Madrid's last four away matches.
Keylor Navas could be worked hard again on Sunday, behind a Real team that is reeling from its thrashing in el clasico. After going 4-0 up at Shahktar Donetsk in midweek, Los Blancos conceded three late goals.
Sixth-placed Eibar have exceeded expectations so far this term. The Basques have scored in each of the last eight rounds of La Liga and can deal another blow to Rafa Benitez this weekend.
Recommended Bet
Back Both Teams to Score @ 1.80
Back Both Teams to Score @ 1.80
Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao
Sunday 17:15 (Live on Sky Sports 3)
Rayo 3.25, Athletic 2.36, The Draw 3.55
Six of Athletic Bilbao's last seven Liga clashes with Rayo Vallecano have delivered Over 2.5 Goals and we're sweet on a few more goals in Vallecas this weekend.
Before a surprising 2-0 defeat at Granada a week ago, Athletic had scored at least twice in five straight games at home and away.
At the other end, Ernesto Valverde's men have logged just two clean sheets in 12 attempts this term, while Rayo have scored at least twice in 3/4 at their Campo de Futbol home.
Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.90
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.90
Sevilla v Valencia
Sunday 19:30 (Live on Sky Sports 3)
Sevilla 1.81, Valencia 4.70, The Draw 4.10
They have been erratic this season, but Sevilla are currently on a winning run of four at theRamon Sanchez Pizjuan, which also happens to have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 6/6 Liga games this term.
The Andalusians have beaten both Barcelona and Real Madrid in their hot streak, while Valencia have regularly disappointed this season, losing three of their last four on the road.
The most recent three of those games all went Over 2.5 Goals and that's how we'll give our bet the extra dimension it needs to go odds-against.
Recommended Bet
Back Sevilla / Over 2.5 Goals @ [2.55]
Back Sevilla / Over 2.5 Goals @ [2.55]