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Back unders at St Andrew's

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Birmingham v Middlesbrough
Friday, 19:45
Match Odds
Boro are just 1.57 to win this with the home side still available at a whopping 7.20, having been as big as 8.00 earlier in the week, and the draw priced at 4.20. As my colleague Mike Norman noted in his preview of last Saturday's 3pm games, at this stage of the season sides are often over-bet and consequently too short when it's deemed they 'need' to win a match. He was bang on the money about Boro and Hull against Ipswich and Leeds respectively and this game fits into that category for me too.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Unders is 1.85 here with Overs 2.12 and I'm surprised that we can get that big a price about Under 2.5 Goals. At this stage of the season I can't see it being anything other than a very tight game and under Rowett the Blues' have always been solid enough at the back, while they have only managed 50 goals this season - that's the same total as 20th-placed Bristol City and less than Rotherham to pick out just two examples.
Recommended Bets
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.85 *best bet
Back 0-1 Correct Score @ 6.60

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