Iceland v Austria
Wednesday, 17:00
Live on BBCi
Iceland
They've never made a big tournament before and because they don't know when the next one will be, they're making the most of this one.
In many ways they're the team at this Euros who most resemble the infamous Greece team of 2004.
You know when you've been in a game with this lot and in their match against Hungary they showed they're not afraid to resort to a few underhand tricks, conceding 15 fouls and seeing three players booked.
For all the positives about them though, you have to worry about whether they have in them to chase a game if they go behind, even though they did so against Portugal. So it's a good thing for them they may not have to. If Portugal lose or draw 0-0, they just need to draw to finish second.
Austria
Despite all of the disappointment of having just the one point from two games and not having scored a goal, at least they're in a position where their destiny is pretty much in their own hands. If they win and Portugal don't, they'll finish second. If they win and Portugal win, they'll almost certainly finish third and with a decent chance of going through.
They obviously can't control what happens in the Portugal match but if they'd been offered the chance to make the last 16 on the proviso they beat Iceland before the tournament started, they would have taken it.
All that said, they don't really look like scoring and Iceland don't look like conceding too many. But maybe now that they need a win, we'll see them adopt a different approach. As ever, it's anyone's guess whichMarko Arnautovic we'll see on the night but he remains their best chance of creating or scoring a goal.
Match Odds
I'm not sure what it is about this group but I don't agree with how any of the matches have been priced up. I thought Iceland and Portugal were too short against Hungary, and that at 2.16, Austria are far too short in this one.
Iceland were just as impressive as Austria in qualifying and have gone on to play well above what we expected in their first two matches. Austria have seriously under-performed so far. This should be a lot closer in the betting than it is, especially when we add fitness and team spirit into the equation, two qualities Iceland have in abundance. Austria are a big lay.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
At least those pricing up the markets have got this one right - 1.65 on Unders, with Overs trading at a far bigger 2.50. We expect a war of attrition and we're likely to get one - never the sign of a high-scoring match. Add to that that not a single match in this Group has broken the 2.5 goals barrier and it's a case of 'enough said'.
Wednesday, 17:00
Live on BBCi
Iceland
They've never made a big tournament before and because they don't know when the next one will be, they're making the most of this one.
In many ways they're the team at this Euros who most resemble the infamous Greece team of 2004.
You know when you've been in a game with this lot and in their match against Hungary they showed they're not afraid to resort to a few underhand tricks, conceding 15 fouls and seeing three players booked.
For all the positives about them though, you have to worry about whether they have in them to chase a game if they go behind, even though they did so against Portugal. So it's a good thing for them they may not have to. If Portugal lose or draw 0-0, they just need to draw to finish second.
Austria
Despite all of the disappointment of having just the one point from two games and not having scored a goal, at least they're in a position where their destiny is pretty much in their own hands. If they win and Portugal don't, they'll finish second. If they win and Portugal win, they'll almost certainly finish third and with a decent chance of going through.
They obviously can't control what happens in the Portugal match but if they'd been offered the chance to make the last 16 on the proviso they beat Iceland before the tournament started, they would have taken it.
All that said, they don't really look like scoring and Iceland don't look like conceding too many. But maybe now that they need a win, we'll see them adopt a different approach. As ever, it's anyone's guess whichMarko Arnautovic we'll see on the night but he remains their best chance of creating or scoring a goal.
Match Odds
I'm not sure what it is about this group but I don't agree with how any of the matches have been priced up. I thought Iceland and Portugal were too short against Hungary, and that at 2.16, Austria are far too short in this one.
Iceland were just as impressive as Austria in qualifying and have gone on to play well above what we expected in their first two matches. Austria have seriously under-performed so far. This should be a lot closer in the betting than it is, especially when we add fitness and team spirit into the equation, two qualities Iceland have in abundance. Austria are a big lay.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
At least those pricing up the markets have got this one right - 1.65 on Unders, with Overs trading at a far bigger 2.50. We expect a war of attrition and we're likely to get one - never the sign of a high-scoring match. Add to that that not a single match in this Group has broken the 2.5 goals barrier and it's a case of 'enough said'.
