I was going to steer clear of Crotone against Lazio, but I think there's a bet here in the game that will have much of the final day focus.
Lazio need to win to make sure of fourth place in the League, while Crotone surely must beat them to have any chance of staying up. Empoli travel to Palermo, and should they lose there, then a draw would be enough for Crotone thanks to their superior head-to-head record (goal difference is irrelevant in Serie A). But if Empoli draw, then Crotone must win.
That would have seemed impossible a few weeks ago, but now that Crotone have beaten Inter and drawn with Milan here, then they have an outside chance, particularly given the fact that the influential Keita Balde Diao is suspended for Lazio, along with Senad Lulic. Marco Parolo and Federico Marchetti are also injured, but Thomas Strakosha returns after missing last week's defeat to Inter with flu.
Let's not forget that when these sides met in January, it took a last-gasp Ciro Immobile strike to give Lazio the points.
Remember that results from elsewhere could affect the way that this game plays out (if Empoli are 3-0 up, then Crotone will lose all hope) and so keep stakes low, but I believe that Nicola will get this right tactically (as he has been doing in recent weeks) and that will give his team a chance.
Lazio will want to finish fourth, but won't be desperate to, as there isn't a huge difference between fourth and fifth, and so I'll cautiously recommend Crotone as my final bet of the season.
Recommended Bet
Back Crotone to beat Lazio @ 2.22
Lazio need to win to make sure of fourth place in the League, while Crotone surely must beat them to have any chance of staying up. Empoli travel to Palermo, and should they lose there, then a draw would be enough for Crotone thanks to their superior head-to-head record (goal difference is irrelevant in Serie A). But if Empoli draw, then Crotone must win.
That would have seemed impossible a few weeks ago, but now that Crotone have beaten Inter and drawn with Milan here, then they have an outside chance, particularly given the fact that the influential Keita Balde Diao is suspended for Lazio, along with Senad Lulic. Marco Parolo and Federico Marchetti are also injured, but Thomas Strakosha returns after missing last week's defeat to Inter with flu.
Let's not forget that when these sides met in January, it took a last-gasp Ciro Immobile strike to give Lazio the points.
Remember that results from elsewhere could affect the way that this game plays out (if Empoli are 3-0 up, then Crotone will lose all hope) and so keep stakes low, but I believe that Nicola will get this right tactically (as he has been doing in recent weeks) and that will give his team a chance.
Lazio will want to finish fourth, but won't be desperate to, as there isn't a huge difference between fourth and fifth, and so I'll cautiously recommend Crotone as my final bet of the season.
Recommended Bet
Back Crotone to beat Lazio @ 2.22
