Skip to main content

Serie A Betting: Inter's goal machine back in gear, but Genoa and Samp have broken down

By
Inter v Verona
Saturday, 14:00 BST
Live on Betfair Live Video
The "Inter are back" headlines are being dusted off again, after Luciano Spalletti's team blew Sampdoria away last week and made another convincing case for the argument that they can finish the season powerfully and even have a chance of nicking third place from Roma.
Having destroyed Samp with a superb display of Mauro Icardi finishing, they'll be eager to do something similar to Verona, and when you consider that this weekend's visitors lost 5-0 themselves last week against Atalanta, you can see the logic for a heavy home win at San Siro this week.
I know that Verona kept the score down in their trips to Napoli and Lazio, but Inter have scored an average of 2.3 goals per game in their last 15 meetings with them, and they are very strong defensively at San Siro. They've kept a clean sheet there in their last three Serie A games, and are likely to do so again, which means that they're worth supporting on the Asian Handicap.
We can back Inter with a 2 and a 2.5 goal start at around the even money mark, and that seems like a price worth taking, given their recent resurgence and Verona's troubles at the back. Icardi is gunning for that Capocannoniere crown, and Inter will remain at full throttle as he goes for glory, and they aim for third place.

Another SPAL upset possible

Genoa v SPAL
Saturday, 14:00 BST
Live on Betfair Live Video
Genoa are trading at around even money for the visit of SPAL, and that seems like too short a price for a team who have been fading fast in recent weeks. Davide Ballardini did a wonderful job to steady the Genoa ship and lead them to safety, but now that the task has seemingly been done, his side seem to be feeling the effects.
The Grifone still aren't safe, but a lot of teams will need to improve rapidly for them to fall into the bottom three, while SPAL are just a point from the relegation zone after they battled to a draw against Juventus last time.
That will have given SPAL serious confidence, and they're now unbeaten in their last four Serie A games. When you consider both teams' recent records, SPAL really shouldn't be trading at 4.50 to win at Marassi.
Genoa have struggled desperately for goals, and everything that they have achieved since Ballardini took over has been based on a solid defence. That has started to crack of late, and SPAL showed at Crotone that they are more than capable of going away from home and scoring.
This is a case of two evenly matched teams, one in poor form, and the other full of belief and spirit. I think that we should support the latter, and with the draw firmly on our side, we should lay Genoa at even money.

Beware of Flying Donkeys

Chievo v Sampdoria
Saturday, 17:00 BST
Live on BT Sport 3 and Betfair Live Video
With Juventus playing Real Madrid in the Champions League next week, and with Milan's form potentially on the brink of tailing away after a tired performance against Chievo last time, I'll steer clear of tipping anything in Serie A's game of the weekend, and focus instead on the team that so nearly caused an upset at San Siro last time.
Chievo have been the worst team in Serie A since Christmas, winning five points fewer than any other side, and yet there were signs last time against Milan that they might be coming back to some kind of form. They led Milan, only to be beaten late on, but will surely bring the momentum from that performance into a home game against a dispirited Sampdoria.
Marco Giampaolo's team have been dreadful in recent weeks, having lost 4-1 at Crotone and then 5-0 at home against Inter, and they'll run into a Chievo team that is desperate for every point as they look to avoid the slide towards relegation, which has suddenly become a real possibility.
Chievo have won only one game since November 25, and have been pitifully short of goals, but their performance last time was encouraging, and they may be fighting this weekend to keep their popular Coach Rolando Maran in a job.
Chievo have won three of their last five Serie A games against Samp, and I think that they'll find another big performance here to move themselves away from the relegation zone, as Samp's excellent season continues to head back towards mediocrity. 
RECOMMENDED BETS
Back Inter -2.00 and 2.50 on Asian Handicap @ 2.00 
Lay Genoa against SPAL @ 2.00 
Back Chievo to beat Sampdoria @ 2.46

Labels:

Popular posts from this blog

Result France Ligue 1 round 11

By
Nantes 0 – 1 Lille Marseille 2 – 3 Reims Bastia 1 – 0 Nice Guingamp 2 – 1 Ajaccio Lorient 2 – 1 Sochaux Toulouse 0 – 5 Rennes Valenciennes 0 – 1 Evian Thonon Gaillard Bordeaux 2 – 0 Montpellier Monaco 2 – 1 Lyon Saint Etienne 2 – 2 Paris Saint Germain league table TEAM P W D L F A GD PTS 1 Paris Saint Germain 11 7 4 0 20 7 13 25 2 Monaco 11 7 4 0 20 8 12 25 3 Lille 11 7 2 2 13 4 9 23 4 Nantes 11 6 1 4 15 9 6 19 5 Guingamp 11 5 2 4 16 12 4 17 6 Marseille 11 5 2 4 15 11 4 17 7 Saint Etienne 11 5 2 4 17 15 2 17 8 Nice 11 5 2 4 12 11 1 17 9 ...
Post a Comment
Read more

Result Netherland Eredivisie round 19

By
FC Twente 3 – 1 Heracles AZ Alkmaar 3 – 0 NAC Breda PEC Zwolle 1 – 2 Vitesse RKC Waalwijk 1 – 1 FC Groningen SC Heerenveen 2 – 2 Roda JC Kerkrade NEC Nijmegen 3 – 1 ADO Den Haag Cambuur 2 – 0 Go Ahead Eagles FC Utrecht 2 – 5 Feyenoord Ajax 1 – 0 PSV Eindhoven table TEAM P W D L F A GD PTS 1 Ajax 19 12 4 3 42 17 25 40 2 Vitesse 19 12 4 3 44 25 19 40 3 FC Twente 19 10 7 2 44 19 25 37 4 Feyenoord 19 11 3 5 41 26 15 36 5 SC Heerenveen 19 8 6 5 44 34 10 30 6 FC Groningen 19 7 7 5 37 33 ...
Post a Comment
Read more

Napoli v PSG: Will French champions fail another stern test?

By
Napoli  3.05  v PSG  2.40 ; The Draw  3.85 Tuesday 6 November, 20:00 Live on BT Sport 3 PSG dare not lose Big spending PSG are in danger of missing out on making the knockout stages of the Champions League, with the French title holders currently third in the highly competitive  Group C . PSG twice had to fight back from being behind to earn a 2-2 draw at home to  Napoli . It leaves Thomas Tuchel's team in a position where they dare not lose this reverse fixture. They are unbeaten in nine (W8 D1), but have struggled on both occasions that they've stepped up in class in the  Champions League . As well as dropping points at home to Napoli, the Parisians lost in their sole away match to Liverpool. After being held to a disappointing draw to Red Star in their opening Champions League match, Napoli have bounced back in fine fashion, beating Liverpool and then coming very close to defeating PSG, before conceding a 90th minute equaliser. They ...
Post a Comment
Read more